Regionals Metagame Projections by Area

Heading into Regionals, a big question is what the metagame will be like. If you know what other people are playing, then you can change your deck accordingly. So, I decided to compile all the State Championship results by area to see what you should expect at your Regional Championship! Of course, this is not an exact science, but it should give you some idea of what people are playing in the area. Some of the numbers may be a little off, but this is what I came up with.

British Columbia: Alberta, British Columbia, Oregon, Washington

Deck Top 4 Finishes
Darkrai 6
RayEel 4
Big Basics 3
Garbodor 2
Klinklang 1

What should you take away from these results? Well, this area appears to be low in Blastoise decks. In fact, it didn’t have a single Top 4 finish at any of the States surrounding the area! Overall, Darkrai was the most successful deck, and RayEel is alive and well. You’ll also have to worry about Landorus, seeing as it was in a good chunk of the decks as well. Klinklang doesn’t seem too popular, so you may not have to worry about that. Basically the results say that you won’t have to worry about Blastoise or Klinklang at this Regional. Another thing to note is that this may be one of the smallest Regionals based on its location.

Georgia: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia

Deck Top 4 Finishes
Big Basics 14
Darkrai 11
Blastoise 7
Klinklang 5
RayEel 4
Garbodor 2
Lugia/Big Basics 2
Empoleon/Dusknoir 1
Zekrom/Eelektrik 1

As you can see, the results from this area differ greatly from the previous one. Although Big Basics and Darkrai are still popular here, Blastoise is something you certainly have to watch out for. On the other hand, Garbodor is underplayed, so you may be able to get away with not playing Tool Scrapper in your decks. Klinklang is played enough to worry about, though. Georgia Regionals will be a very large tournament as well, which may factor into your decision making as well. You’ll need a deck that can survive lots of Swiss rounds and a Top 32 for sure.

Massachusetts: Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Ontario, Pennsylvania, Quebec

Deck Top 4 Finishes
Big Basic 13
Blastoise 6
Darkrai 5
RayEel 3
Klinklang 2
Empoleon/Dusknoir 1
Garbodor 1

Looks like B is the letter for Massachusetts – Big Basics and Blastoise. Be prepared to run into both if you’re going here. As always, Darkrai will be around, but not as heavily as in other areas. RayEel may see some play, but otherwise there isn’t much to worry about. Klinklang and Garbodor are fairly unpopular, so you might be able to cut corners in your lists when it comes to accounting for these decks. This may be the largest tournament of all the Regionals, so be prepared for a very long event.

Utah: Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah

Deck Top 4 Finishes
Big Basic 10
Darkrai 7
Blastoise 5
RayEel 4
Garbodor 1
Hydreigon 1

Once again, we have a fairly standard area in Utah. Lots of Big Basic, Darkrai, and Blastoise decks are going to show up here with some RayEel thrown in. Once again, Garbodor isn’t seeing much play, and Klinklang is seeing none. With the California crowd coming, expect the tournament to be pretty big. Not much else to say here!

Wisconsin: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, Wisconsin

Deck Top 4 Finishes
Darkrai 9
Big Basics 8
Klinklang 6
Garbodor 5
RayEel 4
Blastoise 2
Bouffalant/Eel 2

Welcome to Bizarro land. Sure, you have your Darkrai and Big Basic decks doing well as usual… But then you have tons of Klinklang and Garbodor decks! What gives? In pretty much any other area, these decks aren’t represented very well, but here the metagame is completely different. You may also notice that Blastoise isn’t doing very well, and that’s directly in relation to the high numbers of Klinklang and Garbodor. Eelektrik decks managed to survive, though, with two of them being retro style Bouffalant/Mewtwo/Eelektrik decks. You’re playing a completely different game when you step into Wisconsin for this Regional. Be prepared!

Well, I hope that gave you some insight into what to expect from your Regional Championship this weekend. Surely you can see how where you live can change what you play. Deck choice is very important in the Pokémon TCG. Just remember that these statistics don’t dictate what people play for Regionals; they just show what was successful during States. Normally people stick with the same decks, but that doesn’t mean they won’t change. Good luck to everyone at Regionals!

-Pooka

8 responses to “Regionals Metagame Projections by Area”

  1. Karl Kujak

    Really helpful article, I really hope all those Klinklangs in the midwest dont show up at regionals. Otherwise it might be a rough weekend.

    1. Shaun Kauffman

      putting comments like this will only make the odds of it happening more likely.

      1. Kyle Sucevich

        Maybe that’s exactly what he wants… Reverse psychology.

    2. Piplup_isPimp

      Looks like someone should run V-create victini.

  2. John Orgel

    Thanks Pooka, really good job. I think there may be more Ray-Eels than the numbers let on for the South-East area. There was a lot of Eels that cut and were played in NC and SC but the Big Basics and Darkrai dominated when we got down to the top three.

    1. Kyle Sucevich

      Yeah, one of the downfalls of this projection is that it’s based on Top 4 finishes only; that doesn’t always tell the whole story. A scenario you described very well could happen and end up causing a misleading chart.

      1. Ninja_Ave

        I completely agree because in the Washington area it almost all blastoise which lead people to also play garbrador and blastoise isn’t doing that well

    2. Andrew Wester

      Good call.